The Shine is Gone
It has been 4038 days since the NHL awarded a franchise to the state of Minnesota. After watching the North Stars leave for Dallas, I never thought I would live to see the day the NHL returned, so when the announcement was made, I put an entire lifetime of hockey passion behind the team. I watched the expansion draft, the first entry draft, and I watched as the team slowly built some momentum.
I flew to Denver to watch game 7 against the Avs. I nearly plopped the Visa down to go to Vancouver too, but was reigned in at the last minute. I have, for 4038 days, given the benefit of the doubt to Doug Risebrough and the Wild brass. I have always made the assumption that they know more than I do, that they have information at their finger tips that I could only dream of having.
They have scouts around the world that do nothing but watch hockey and report back. The team has offices full of interns and seasoned vets at processing and crunching numbers that tell Risebrough exactly where the team sits for talent today and tomorrow.
Something happened this offseason to put a chink in the armor. The mishandling of the Brian Rolston negotiations made a small scratch. The inability to land a handful of big name free agents added a couple other small scratches.
I listened as Risebrough told us that the youth movement was on. Benoit Pouliot was given a roster spot, and I thought, "He hasn't been good enough to make the jump yet, but hey, Doug says he can play, he must be able to play."
I gave Risbrough the benefit of the doubt when he let so many vets walk this offseason in favor of Pouliot, James Sheppard, and Colton Gilles. Eric Reitz was given his chance after toiling in the AHL for years. Again, I gave the benefit of the doubt to the guys being paid millions a year to run the organization. After all, they know what they are doing. Right?
I have always given the benefit of the doubt to Jacques Lemaire. He is a hall of fame player and coach. His pedigree is beyond reproach. Who can argue with past success, right?
As the season started, I still had the Wild picked to challenge for the Northwest title. I was convinced that Koivu would step up (which he has), Nolan and Brunette would easily replace lost goals, along with some new help on the blue line. I had faith that the young guys would help out and progress quickly.
After just passing the half point, the armor is falling off. There are so many holes in the armor that every weakness is now completely apparent. The benefit of the doubt is gone. The faith is gone. It is difficult to look at the present situation and call for heads. However, there are only three time frames to look at: the past, the present, and the future.
The past is at best adequate. One long post season run that was a complete fluke. A handful of first round exits do not a dynasty make. There has been success in developing players quickly, such as Gaborik, Bouchard, Koivu, Schultz, and Burns. The team certainly made progress, and became competitive quickly.
The present is a question mark. Can Lemaire continue to pull wins out with a menagerie of less than stellar talent? Possibly, but is that even the best plan for the team? The Wild are very unlikely to suddenly become an offensive force, so winning will become very difficult as defense tightens around the league as it does every spring.
The future is a joke. Talking with Ms. Conduct, she is defensive about her boys in Houston, but admits there is no truly NHL ready talent in Houston, let alone a savior. Looking at the draft doesn't help much either. The Wild have no second or third round pick this summer, and even if they did, the scouts for the team have shown they have shown little ability in the past four drafts to find true NHL talent. Can Sheppard still be a solid player, sure he can. Is he going to be a piece to build around, like Koivu or Burns, doubtful.
The Wild have no pieces left to trade, unless they want to trade Backstrom, which I still believe is the wrong thing to do, but if it helps long term, maybe it needs to be done. The Gaborik situation did more to alienate fans and cripple the future of the team than almost any move Risebrough has made thus far.
So, put the pieces together. The past is gone, the present is ugly, and the future is brutal. The shine is gone, the benefit of the doubt is gone, and the faith has evaporated.
It is time for heads to roll. I have respect for Risebrough and Lemaire. I just don't trust that they can get the job done anymore. Fire Risebrough, fire every scout in the organization, and let Lemaire walk at the end of the season. Spend some big time money to steal some high quality scouting in Europe and the US, and bring in a big name GM who can then bring in a big name coach with a new system.
Now that is change we can believe in.
Comments
Nicely done, B. Very level headed and probably one of the first “fire doug” things I’ve read that I didn’t go, “Jesus HMFC, settle down.” You’ve almost got me convinced, in fact.
And this isn’t just because you mentioned me, but it helps.
by ms.conduct on
Jan 14, 2009 2:02 PM CST
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Look no further than the WJC
When was the last time the Wild had a player in the WJC? Cuma was injured this year, but was not likely to make the roster.
Last 5 years:
2005: Anton Khudobin
2005: Roman Voloshenko
2005: Patrick O’Sullivan
2006: Benoit Pouliot
Now only one of those four guys is still on the roster, and Pouliot is not exactly lighting things up. The Wild have not been successful in bringing up young talent. Is it scouting? AHL coaching? NHL coaching? Philosophies?
Nobody really knows, but it doesn’t look like the young talent that the Wild are bringing in end up being talented at all. If they don’t fix the pipeline, things aren’t going to improve in the near future. The Wild seem like the anti-Twins.
by nathaneide on
Jan 14, 2009 4:45 PM CST
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Exactly
They bring up players like Sheppard, but he may take another 5 years to be a good, solid player. Wouldn’t it serve the franchise better to have him in Houston (I know Ms. C, you salivate at this possibility) for those years, then up? I get that practicing and playing in the NHL will teach more than the AHL, but the team can’t win. Time to move some guys back down, and replace them with some free agent help.
Win now, develop the youth in the minors, where they belong, and bring them up when ready to continue to win in the future.
No?
The only way to avoid failure, is to learn from it.
by buddhafisch on
Jan 14, 2009 6:52 PM CST
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Teams aren't saved by AHL development
It’s killing me because I can’t find the reference, but I read a great post a while back surveying the rookie players, their success and how long the player spent in the AHL. The conclusion was that the true stars spent little if any time in the AHL, less then 15 games if I remember correctly.
Houston’s biggest contribution is going to be for the Wild’s third and fourth lines. Looking at Kolanos and Clutterbuck both contributing this season is about all I could hope for.
That said, Wild player development has had it’s misses. Pouliot is the most recent example, but losing both first and 2nd round picks of 2004 (Thelen and Voloshenko) was a hurting place. And to continue to drum on the Pouliot drum, he was the 4th pick in what was a double-sized draft post-lockout. The Wild’s once chance at a high draft pick, and we got… Ben. Oof…
Finding and signing Backstrom I place into the win column for player identification and development. The 2003 draft included Burns and O’Sullivan (good pick, gave us Demetra and a Gaborik contract signing).
It’s too soon in my opinion to know how Sheppard, Gillies and Cuma will develop. Gillies spending much of the season watching from the press box and put on the ice where Lamaire feels he may have success is a lot how PMB was brought along. And I thought Cuma was being strongly considered for a World Juniors slot pre-injury?
Anyhow, I’m feeling the pain too. I’d like to see more surprisingly good picks from the later rounds. The inability to convince any free agents to pick the Wild was disappointing. But the fact that the WIld’s first round selections have not been superstars follows very closely from the competitiveness of the team.
I’m not drinking the kool-aid, but DR and company have earned my support for a bit longer. (I reserve the right to full-blown panic they lose Bob Mason though.)
Ron
by ron_nelson on
Jan 15, 2009 1:23 PM CST
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