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#1 Pick, I'm telling you there's a chance.

By the time I publish this it will be moot, but as of right now the Wild have a shot at an 8.1% chance to win the #1 pick.  Without getting into the Vegas odds here is the situation.  The Wild currently sit in 22nd place in the league.  There are 4 teams that can pass the Wild (currently at 81 points) in the standings, if the Wild lose their two remaining games.  Here they are:

  • Blue Jackets (78 points) Remaining schedule: @ Detroit, vs. Detroit
  • Hurricanes (78 points) Remaining schedule: vs Montreal, @ Boston
  • Thrashers (81 points) Remaining schedule: @Washington, vs Pittsburgh
  • Islanders (78 points) Remaining schedule @ Pittsburgh, @ New Jersey, vs Pittsburgh

The Wild need to lose out, Columbus and Carolina to win out, Atlanta to win once, and the Islanders to win two of three. As you can see by the level of competition, it doesn't look good.

As for the draft lottery, the odds start at 25% for the last place team and .5% for the 17th place team.  Keep in mind that you can only move up four spots if you win and down one pick if you lose, which boosts the percentage for the worst team to 48.2% to win the first pick and guarantees at least the 2nd pick if you're the Oilers. I don't have a degree in astrophysics so don't ask me to explain. The percentages for the bottom five round out as follows:

  • Oilers, 48.2%
  • 29th, 18.8%
  • 28th, 14.2%
  • 27th, 10.7%
  • 26th, 8.1%

 

The opinions posted here are not those of Hockey Wilderness

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