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Mikko Koivu: 57th Best in the NHL?

There are few people at ESPN that give a rip about hockey. The number drops considerably when you want to discuss the number of people at ESPN that actually know something about hockey. Sure, they are getting better, especially with their online content, picking up writers like Craig Custance and Katie Strang. This new found bolstering of the World Wide Leader's interest in hockey is still anchored by the great John Buccigross.

Buccigross used to host NHL 2Nite. He has written books about the game. Good ones. He can likely tell you everything you would ever want to know about the game from stats to birthdays. The guy is a veritable encyclopedia (real ones, not like wikipedia) of hockey knowledge.

When a guy like John Buccigross writes a column saying there are 56 players in the NHL better than the Wild's best player, you have to take note of that. At the same time, no matter how much knoweldeg Buccigross has, or how much respect you might have for him, sometimes, you just plain have to tell the guy he is wrong.

Mikko Koivu is only the 57th best player in the league? Yeah, not so much.

Star-divide

Here is the entry about Koivu from Buccigross on his post:

57. Mikko Koivu: 2001 was a so-so draft year. The Wild picked sixth overall, and they nailed it when they drafted Koivu. An ideal No. 2 center. Not a great scorer, excellent on faceoffs.

An ideal number two center? A number two? Huh. Are there a great number of teams out there who wouldn't put a seventy point player, who also plays in every situation and also serves as a shut down defensive player, and wins 1000+ faceoffs a year on the second line?

Even teams that look to do so don't really do so. The Pittsburgh Penguins have the two of the top centers in the game on their roster in Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. When both are healthy, Malkin spends a great deal of time on Crosby's wing.

The Boston Bruins have Patrice Bergeron and Tyler Seguin both putting up huge numbers. Someone could argue that the Bruins have a great 1-2 punch at the pivot. Until they actually looked to see that Seguin has 82 faceoff wins this year. He isn't a center. According to Daily Faceoff, Bergeron plays on the "second" line in Boston. Look at that top line. That isn't the top line.

One team does have the claim to say they might put Koivu on the second line. The Vancouver Canucks. How could they make this claim? They have Ryan Kesler playing on the second line, and Kesler's game is eerily similar to that of Koivu's.

Number two centers in the league include Saku Koivu, Brad Boyes, Olli Jokinen, Jeff Skinner, Patrick Sharp, Matt Duchene, Derick Brassard, Tom Wandell, Henrik Zetterberg, Sam Gagner, Marcel Goc, Mike Richards, Lars Eller, David Legwand, Patrik Elias, Frans Nielsen, Brian Boyle, Kyle Turris, Sean Couturier, Dustin Jeffrey, Logan Couture, Patrik Berglund, Vincent Lecavalier, Mikhail Grabovski, Brooks Laich, and Nik Antropov.

Looking at that list, Zetterberg has played a great deal of his career on Datsyuk's wing, Jeff Skinner is only a second line guy because Eric Staal is in the way, Mike Richards has been a bust in LA, Patrik Elias is well past his prime and lost his role to a rookie, Couture is a number one if he is anywhere but San Jose, and Lecalvalier was passed by a flat out superstar.

I do not follow these teams close enough to know, but the guess is that, save for Zetterberg, most of these guys aren't expected to also be shut down defensively.

There are far too many teams without even a number one center in this league for Koivu to be an "ideal second line center."

The List

The list above Koivu is certainly difficult to argue against, for the most part. Is Tyler Seguin really better than Koivu right now? He should be someday, but is he right now? Ask yourself this - Would Chuck Fletcher ask Koivu to waive his NMC if Seguin became available? Jordan Staal? There isn't a GM in the league who takes Staal in a re-draft before Koivu is taken. Not one. Matt Duchene is pretty good. He's far enough in that if he were going to be a superstar, he would be there. Not buying he is better than Koivu.

Continuing up the list... Evander Kane, Johan Franzen, Alexander Semin, Matt Moulson, David Krejci (really?), Danny Briere, Mike Richards, Eric Staal, Patrick Sharp, Keith Yandle... (KEITH YANDLE?), Seguin...

At this point, you start to get to an actual debate. Would you rather have Zetterberg or Mikko Koivu? I could go both ways, to be honest. Zetterberg is damn good. One of the best. But is he the top guy? Maybe. I'd take either. Jeff Skinner is at 25. He's good. Darn good. And young. But is he better than Koivu right now? Maybe. It's a debate worth having. If I am building a brand new team, I would consider my options carefully in that one.

At this point, we've got Koivu at 57, and debate about whether the guy at 25 is really better or not. That's 22 spots. I'm not about to make the case that Koivu is better than Sidney Crosby, or even guys like Duncan Keith. Those are the superstars of the league. But it is ridiculous to think Koivu isn't better than Keith Yandle. Yandle's good, but he's about where he should be on the list. Koivu isn't.

Mikko Koivu isn't a top 10 guy in the league. No one is under the impression he is. He has to be top 25 on anyone's list outside of the folks at ESPN.

I hate to argue with greatness, but on this one, Bucci is dead wrong.

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Suffers from having to play in a ‘small market’. That being said, I think he’s a lot like Mike Richards, minus being a douche. So Top 25? Top 50? No doubt.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 30, 2012 2:37 PM CST reply actions  

The list doesn't include goalies I assume

Yeah, I’d say he is much higher. I think he suffers from our system and that’s why he was so low.

by y2jayjk on Jan 30, 2012 2:38 PM CST reply actions  

Marc Andre Fluery is on there.

Editor:Hockey Wilderness Swarm Beat Writer:In Lax We Trust Now with more Twitterness: ReynoldsSBN

Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 30, 2012 2:45 PM CST up reply actions  

Thomas is on there too at #16

I’m taking a hard look at this list before I make my response, you’ve made some good points, Bryan but I want to study the list first.

by cgp711 on Jan 30, 2012 2:47 PM CST up reply actions  

Ha ha. See?

Editor:Hockey Wilderness Swarm Beat Writer:In Lax We Trust Now with more Twitterness: ReynoldsSBN

Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 30, 2012 4:05 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, this list is terrible.

After seeing Weber’s (and eventually Suter’s) rank, I of course just had to search for Pekka Rinne in this mess of a list. I got very confused when I didn’t see him in the top 20… or 25…. or 40….. or 50…… or 70……. or 80…….. How “good” is Pekka Rinne, you ask? Well apparently, he’s the 93rd best player in the NHL. Really?

Here is my abbreviated list of players ranked above Rinne who (while arguably good players) don’t deserve to be: Chris Pronger (86). Ryan Miller (83). Mike Fisher (79). Carey Price (78). Ilya Kovalchuk (37). Anze Kopitar (15).

Also, from the little I know and little I’ve watched of Mikko, he deserves to be ranked higher. And I think that’s saying something.

Hands go uuppp..... AND THEY STAY THERE!
-nashvillepredators-

by davisca on Jan 30, 2012 9:45 PM CST up reply actions  

I’d rec this 100 times if I could.

Hands go uuppp..... AND THEY STAY THERE!
-nashvillepredators-

by davisca on Jan 30, 2012 11:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Pekka is way too low, I agree.

Seriously, Miller is not that good. He had 2 good years. People need to get over the fact he represented USA and did a wonderful job, those days are over.

Also, I could live with Carey Price being at 78 if Rinne is higher.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 9:27 AM CST up reply actions  

Yea, Carey Price isn’t terrible, he’s just DEFINITELY not ranked above Rinne.

Hands go uuppp..... AND THEY STAY THERE!
-nashvillepredators-

by davisca on Jan 31, 2012 12:15 PM CST via Android app up reply actions  

He could not make the top 25? Sad! Just glad he made the list all together!!!

by Rebekah on Jan 30, 2012 2:39 PM CST reply actions  

You really think he is only 57th? I mean… really?

Editor:Hockey Wilderness Swarm Beat Writer:In Lax We Trust Now with more Twitterness: ReynoldsSBN

Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 30, 2012 4:06 PM CST up reply actions  

yup

i just scanned the list. Not sure how but he beat out Backes, Selanne, and Joe Pavelski.

Koivu is an honest defensive centerman with occasional flashes. Hes got 9 goals. Nothing to see here. I dont put much stock in the assist numbers b/c he plays 1st line PP minutes in a league that rewards two assists on breakaway goals.

I dont see a conspiracy with Koivu at 57.

by Pewterschmidt on Jan 30, 2012 9:53 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I dont put much stock in the assist numbers

Wayne Gretzky would like a word with you.

Editor:Hockey Wilderness Swarm Beat Writer:In Lax We Trust Now with more Twitterness: ReynoldsSBN

Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 30, 2012 10:33 PM CST up reply actions  

KOIVU's assist numbers

Gretzky is part of the Koivu conversation? This is getting surreal. Borderline blasphemous.

By the way, the Great One was on a “Pond Hockey” show on PB S that I stumbled across last night. Gretzky ’s dad used to flood the back yard rink with a sprinkler. Little known fact.

by Pewterschmidt on Jan 30, 2012 11:01 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

You said you put no faith in the assist numbers. Are Koivu’s assists worth less than other people’s?

Editor:Hockey Wilderness Swarm Beat Writer:In Lax We Trust Now with more Twitterness: ReynoldsSBN

Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 31, 2012 1:12 AM CST up reply actions  

Koivu doesn't only get assists you know

He’s a top defensive forward in the league, great on faceoffs, captain of his team, carries the team on his shoulders. I can’t think of many players whose absence has a bigger impact on his team.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 9:21 AM CST up reply actions  

'Captain of his team'

Is all nice and good, but we throw it around like it is somehow a unique qualifier of skill and ability. Luongo was the captain of his team too.

There is no denying that Koivu has a massive impact on the Wild and in how the Wild plays the game. He is without question the best player on the Wild team. The problem for Koivu and his league wide perception is that that’s not really saying all that much.

I do think that Koivu’s versatility, his extremely great two-way play, his puck control, is rather undervalued while his lack of goals is overvalued. Koivu isn’t top 10. On average, he’s not top 20. But, I would put him in there somewhere in the upper 20s to low 30s. I still believe that if the Wild were to ever find the right mix of forwards for Koivu, and keep them healthy, his scoring numbers would rise to the level where Koivu would be being talked about a lot more by league wide pundits.

That being said, I hope GLats gets healthy and we can see another shot at the GLats, Koivu, and Heatley combination. That line had a certain something that I really wish hadn’t been interrupted by injury.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 9:33 AM CST up reply actions  

Well

They usually don’t just name anybody ’’captain’’ either. He was dubbed the future captain the moment he was drafted because of his leadership. Leadership is another underrated part of anyone’s game if you ask me.

Of course, not every team gets naming the captain right. Ovechkin? Really?

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 9:39 AM CST up reply actions  

I know.

I’m only saying that ‘Captain of his team’ isn’t really a qualification. Even if Mikko wasn’t captain, or the team was still rotating the C, it wouldn’t really change Koivu’s talents, impacts, or importance to his team and its success. The Wild just happen to have named the right guy the captain.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 9:48 AM CST up reply actions  

I guess it doesn't really change anything

But still, the C symbolizes his importance and leadership qualities for his club. People outside of the Wild’s fanbase may not know about his leadership qualities if he weren’t wearing the C.

Then again, I don’t find Ovechkin to be a good leader at all, he’s an example of the C being given to the best or most popular player.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 9:54 AM CST up reply actions  

There’s no doubt that Washington was a better team when Chris Clark was the captain and would be better if Brooks Laich was captain now.

by cgp711 on Jan 31, 2012 11:15 AM CST up reply actions  

But….. Ovie is a superstar! They are all good leaders, right?

Hands go uuppp..... AND THEY STAY THERE!
-nashvillepredators-

by davisca on Jan 31, 2012 12:18 PM CST via Android app up reply actions  

Koivu gets a lot of first assists, actually.

"You don't understand anything, man. Leave your STUPID comments in your POCKET!"

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by Georgie Fruit on Feb 1, 2012 1:23 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Koivu has single handedly won games

How many has krejci won. 57 is low. I’ll be fair and say somewhere in the 30s but no lower than that. 56 people would be drafted before him in a hypothetical team building draft? No way.

Don't know what I'm fighting for, but I know what I'm fighting against

by PUTTINxONxTHExFOIL on Jan 31, 2012 1:11 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

This is the last sentence about Gaborik:

“This is a Hall of Fame talent.” Seriously? And if he still played for Minnesota, would he be a Hall of Fame talent, not likely. This whole list is garbage.

by cgp711 on Jan 30, 2012 3:57 PM CST reply actions  

So aparently the following players are better than Koivu:

Matt Moulson?!
Krejci was mentioned above
Franzen? I’m a big believer in the Wings system and how it would not translate to success on many other teams
What has Evander Kane done?
Jordan Staal gets hurt an awful lot.
I love Patrick Sharp, but he’s not better than Koivu.
Mike Richards? C’mon.
Seriously, Brian Campbell?
Fleury?!
Yandle has to be the best one on the list ranked higher than Koivu.

Now this list is an injustice to Koivu, but so many other players too. St. Louis at 58? The Sedins are ranked pretty low IMO. Remember when Ovechkin was a great player and now he’s like vanilla ice cream at K-mart? I like Buccigross and all, but he is not being very consistent in ranking these players. He ranks some on intangibles alone, or skating, or points. He factors in injuries for Crosby in an argument to rank them high and then uses injuries to rank Getzlaf low. Like I said above, this whole list is garbage.

by cgp711 on Jan 30, 2012 4:11 PM CST reply actions  

One negative on Koivu

is he seems hard to develop good chemistry with. Havlat and him failed epiclly, Earlier this season Heatley and Seto didn’t seem to mesh well with him. He only seems to develop chemistry with not top line guys which then leads to an ineffectual top line, (see mietinen last season and Bruno was well past his prime). Something is not quite right with how Koivu plays with top talent. For that reason I can understand analysis that he should be more of a 2nd line center.

don't feed the trolls

by Hagendas on Jan 30, 2012 4:29 PM CST reply actions  

I don’t get the feeling that Koivu is any more difficult to develop chemistry with, but more like the right type of players aren’t being brought in. I am still convinced that if Heatley and Setoguchi would shoot more, there would be more goals on the board. I just don’t get it. Guys are brought in to do one thing, and they back off of doing that. Something is definitely wrong, but I don’t get the feeling it is Koivu.

Though, the options are becoming fewer.

Editor:Hockey Wilderness Swarm Beat Writer:In Lax We Trust Now with more Twitterness: ReynoldsSBN

Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 30, 2012 5:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Nope. And the fact that you are the lone negative voice on this is not surprising at all. The guy should be a Selke candidate, and if the team around him would pick up their game, he could be in the running for the Hart. You can call it Kool-aid, but if you think I’m a guy who blindly supports this team or it’s players, you are behind on your reading.

Editor:Hockey Wilderness Swarm Beat Writer:In Lax We Trust Now with more Twitterness: ReynoldsSBN

Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 30, 2012 10:34 PM CST up reply actions  

And what you are doing is being negative just so you can point at it and say “See, I’m not a homer.” I’m negative when they deserve it, and positive when they deserve it. If nothing else, probably more negative even when I should be positive.

I’m not sure what your problem is with me defending Koivu other than you have something against the guy. You have a Preds fan saying he is too low, a Sharks fan on Twitter saying he is too low, NHL players saying he is too low… but I’m wrong simply because I write for a Wild themed site? That makes no sense at all.

I will defend Koivu against any critic. He is an easy target because he plays for the Wild. If he played for Philly, he’d be a superstar. If that makes me a homer while I criticize Zidlicky, Setoguchi, Stabubitz, everyone in genral for not doing their jobs… I guess you have a different definition of homer than I do.

I won’t deny my bias, but I’m about as far away from a homer as you can get.

Rather than just writing it off as “homerism,” make your case. Why is Koivu so far down on your list? Now… you aren’t allowed to use anything from your fandom to support your argument, or you’re just a homer. Ready? Go.

Editor:Hockey Wilderness Swarm Beat Writer:In Lax We Trust Now with more Twitterness: ReynoldsSBN

Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 31, 2012 1:19 AM CST up reply actions   1 recs

BRILLIANT!

This is why I read your blog.

Official US Navy Seabee of the Hockey Wilderness

by Jolonco on Jan 31, 2012 2:14 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Thanks.

Editor:Hockey Wilderness Swarm Beat Writer:In Lax We Trust Now with more Twitterness: ReynoldsSBN

Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 31, 2012 9:51 PM CST up reply actions  

Whiny idiot homer

Of course, what do I know? I’m an ignorant dumbass :)

You hit it right on the nail. My friends call me a homer because I believe Koivu to be one of the top players in the league, but they forget that I don’t automatically love all Wild players like they love all of their team’s players. The reason I believe Koivu to be one of the top players in the league has nothing to do with homerism, it has to do with me WATCHING the game. Seriously, he’s on a whole other level compared to the rest of the team and not many players have his skillset.

A guy who scores 40 goals, but doesn’t do much else isn’t better than Koivu, who plays in all situations and is good in all aspects in my mind.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 9:33 AM CST up reply actions  

It's a sad fact that for a lot of people

Goals equals the end all, be all of quality hockey play. Don’t get me wrong, I would love to get a 40 goal scorer and add it to a team that also fields one of the top 5 two-way forwards in the game. I love Koivu’s game, and I think he’s an awfully good hockey player. It just seems to be difficult to build an actual top line around him for some reason.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 9:36 AM CST up reply actions  

Yup

Kind of makes you wonder how a Koivu-Gaborik combo would’ve worked out. We never really got to see it and not too many players can score better than Gaby.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 9:43 AM CST up reply actions  

My brain tells me that it should have been a dynamite combination.

And it’s something that was never given any time to work, so we’ll never know if there would have been any chemistry there. For some reason, I don’t think there would have been. Could be wrong though.

Of course, Gaborik and Demitra had some ridiculous chemistry if either could have stayed healthy.

I still wish that Gabby and Koivu could have played together… it might be best that we don’t know. Our luck is that it would have been a truly golden pairing, but Gaborik would have left in FA anyway. We’d really be angsty then.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 9:53 AM CST up reply actions  

I remember

Gabby’s last year, after he came back from injury, He was paired with Koivu quite a bit trying to make a final playoff push. I remember it being fantastic, but that could be revisionist history.

by ThatGuy22 on Jan 31, 2012 10:17 AM CST up reply actions  

No I was just about to post the same.

Those last few games that year featured the line of Demitra-Koivu-Gaborik and was lights out. They scored a few very pretty goals in those games.

by cgp711 on Jan 31, 2012 11:17 AM CST up reply actions  

Yes,

for a very short period of time, that pairing was very dynamic. I don’t know if that would have worked long term, or if it would have worked at all without Demitra and his telepathic connection to Gaborik.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 11:37 AM CST up reply actions  

True

In the Olympics, Hossa-Demitra-Gaborik were pretty much unstoppable due to there telepathy.

by cgp711 on Jan 31, 2012 12:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Too be fair and balanced

Heatley shoots a lot

Don't know what I'm fighting for, but I know what I'm fighting against

by PUTTINxONxTHExFOIL on Jan 31, 2012 1:13 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Yeah

But it’s often random shots. Either he goes for a Subban-type slapshot with a 20-second long wind-up, or he just shoots for the sake of shooting, no matter where he is. It’s like he lost his scoring touch, he’s not picking his spots anymore.

Setoguchi doesn’t shoot nearly enough though.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 9:35 AM CST up reply actions  

ya i dont know whats up with gooch

Don't know what I'm fighting for, but I know what I'm fighting against

by PUTTINxONxTHExFOIL on Jan 31, 2012 9:43 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I guess he was simply overrated

Playing with guys like Dan Boyle, Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau, Joe Pavelski, etc. will pad anyone’s stats.

That being said, Seto is still young, plenty of time to get better.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 9:45 AM CST up reply actions  

Ya i dont know if he really even wants to be here

I think the trade messed with him. And if his hearts not in it, his play will suffer. That and for a professional athlete, he doesn’t look to be in all that great of shape. A little round on the edges.

Don't know what I'm fighting for, but I know what I'm fighting against

by PUTTINxONxTHExFOIL on Jan 31, 2012 10:02 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Let's just say

Before Heater was traded, Seto was not glad about the trade. It wasn’t necessarily being traded to Minnesota that did it, it was being traded 3 days after he had signed a new deal with SJ. He clearly wanted to stay there.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 10:05 AM CST up reply actions  

Exactly

Don't know what I'm fighting for, but I know what I'm fighting against

by PUTTINxONxTHExFOIL on Jan 31, 2012 10:07 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I guess he was simply overrated Playing with guys like Dan Boyle, Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau, Joe Pavelski, etc. will pad anyone’s stats.

2009-10: 0.29 G/G, 0.23 A/G, 2.36 shots/game
2010-11: 0.31 G/G, 0.26 A/G, 2.76 shots/game
2011-12: 0.28 G/G, 0.22 A/G, 2.53 shots/game

Seems pretty consistent to me. Who was overrating him or who is saying his stats are no longer padded?

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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 10:35 AM CST up reply actions  

That rookie year threw everyone off

We figured with first-line duty in Minnesota, those numbers might return.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 10:40 AM CST up reply actions  

So you overrated him by picking his best season as a pro and having higher than reasonable expectations based on the outlier. That’s not San Jose padding his stats, that’s ignoring his stats.

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Broad Street Hockey - Makin' it look mean since 1967.
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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 10:51 AM CST up reply actions  

He wouldn't have scored 65 points in his rookie year if he hadn't been playing most of it on the top line

We figured playing top line minutes with Koivu and Heatley would bring him back to 30-goal form. We were wrong, so we overestimated him. He’s been putting up these numbers this year playing mostly top line minutes, while the last two years, he was being juggled between the second and third line. He has seen some second line duty with Minnesota, but Minnesota’s second line doesn’t hold a candle to San Jose’s, so whenever Seto plays on the second line, his numbers tend to dip.

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Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 11:00 AM CST up reply actions  

65 points came in his second year, my bad.

I'm that ''ignorant dumbass'' who writes with the ''whiny idiot homer'' over at Hockey Wilderness.

Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 11:03 AM CST up reply actions  

Last year, Setoguchi played with Thornton over 56% of the time and Marleau over 45% of the time. That’s first line minutes.

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Broad Street Hockey - Makin' it look mean since 1967.
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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 11:18 AM CST up reply actions  

Yes,

and what was his scoring like while playing those first line minutes as compared to when he wasn’t playing with Thornton and/or Marleau?

I don’t think the argument is that Seto wasn’t getting any first line minutes with the Sharks only that he produced better in those minutes. Of course, the earlier comment by JS about ‘padding’ was referring to the fact that those minutes just happen to come with guys the caliber of Thornton and Marleau.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 11:29 AM CST up reply actions  

And yet when he wasn’t with those guys the year before, he had the same production. When he isn’t with those guys this year, he has the same production.

Similar production across three years, with different majority linemates all three years, and somehow his production was padded?

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Broad Street Hockey - Makin' it look mean since 1967.
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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 11:51 AM CST up reply actions  

Parse the numbers though rather than simply look at the season long line.

Setoguchi last year, in the first half of the season when he was playing mostly away from Thornton and Marleau, was producing at a far lower rate than in the second half of the season, when he was playing more with Thornton and Marleau. The net result of the season saw a slight increase over the previous season, though a marked difference when comparing parts of the season, and where he was lining up. He was, last year, markedly more productive while skating on the first line during 5 of 5 play compared to when his TOI were with other players. The aggregate numbers imply steady play when in fact last season his production was wildly divergent.

The Front Office sold an idea that was based on the idea that if Setoguchi got more time on the first line, and also very important, his first unit PP time drastically increased over what it was in SJ, you’d see increased production from Setoguchi.

3 things have made that statement impossible to judge so far.

1. Setoguchi started the season very slowly (whether this was some sort of trade hangover, system issue, communication problem, I don’t know). This resulted with lines being shifted to try to find spark and chemistry.
2. Injuries, to Seto and others in the top 6 (Koivu, Bouchard, Latendresse) have meant a nearly constant reshuffling of lines and PP units. There has been little or no time to build continuity or consistency.
3. The Wild’s PP unit is apathetic and has been all year. It seems to be both a personnel and system issue, and the team is simply not scoring much with the advantage.

Some conclusions:

1. Seto – Koivu – Heatley is not as good a first line, offensively, as Marleau – Thornton – Seto.
2. Setoguchi seems to be consistently inconsistent with his scoring, and plays to about average when his game isn’t being leveraged.
3. The Wild’s claims about developing Setoguchi’s scoring based on an increase in leveraged minutes has not been true because Seto has not consistently seen those minutes (either due to being on different lines or injuries preventing his pairing with preferred line mates), and the the PP minutes he’s had are with a deficient PP.

That all being said, and you can check my threads on Setoguchi during the later portion of last season when we were talking possible trades for Burns, is that I’ve never considered him to be more than a marginal top 6 on a good team. There is room for development and more consistency, and on the right line perhaps a slighter higher rate of production. My comparison for Setoguchi was actually Chuck Kobasew’s Boston seasons prior to his trade to the Wild, with Setoguchi being slightly better and more productive. So far, Setoguchi has transferred his game to the Wild much better than Kobasew seemed to manage it.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 1:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Yet he had 250-300 minutes less than both

And that’s 5 on 5. He had half the PP time that Thornton and Marleau got, so you can’t really say Setoguchi truly got 1st line minutes.

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by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 11:35 AM CST up reply actions  

Sorry, I didn’t know when you said “juggled between the second and third line” you were including power play time, since there aren’t third power play units.

If you want to say Setoguchi wasn’t on the first line despite playing with Thornton and Marleau, whatever. Doesn’t matter. His production has been the same in each of the last three years, and somehow he’s a disappointment. That’s not on him.

You’re saying he had better teammates in San Jose, but he has more power play time in Minnesota. His production hasn’t changed. In San Jose, he was given a lot more favorable situations to play in, so his ice time has gotten harder here.

He has the same level of production in harder situations with worse teammates, but more power play time. How is that a disappointment that gets deflected onto him or San Jose?

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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 11:54 AM CST up reply actions  

You can't say Seto got first line minutes

When he played almost half as many minutes as the guys you named, regardless of the situation. There’s a difference between playing on the first line and getting first-line minutes.

The reason he’s been a disappointment so far is that he’s been wildly inconsistent and just doesn’t seem to put in too much effort. You can say he’s been posting similar numbers so far, but we’re only halfway through the season. Before scoring 3 points in his last two games, he had 15 points in 34 games. That’s disappointing, especially when you look at how he played during last year’s playoffs. The Wild were expecting him to be a main source of goals, and while he does have 10, he’s being passed by 4 guys and he has a strangely low +/- when compared to the guys he usually plays with.

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by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 12:05 PM CST up reply actions  

You can look at the numbers all you want

We see his play on the ice and it’s lackluster.

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Twitter: BubbleWild48

by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 12:06 PM CST up reply actions  

And that’s fine. It’s the Jeff Carter effect. You can say it’s lackluster, but he’s producing like he always has, so you then have to question whether what you see is lackluster or if the standard you have is too high.

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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 12:09 PM CST up reply actions  

It's lackluster

For one thing, he’s way slower than advertised, and seeing as he’s counted on more heavily to score, he really doesn’t shoot enough. Scoring at his usual pace is fine in SJ, they have enough scorers, but in Minnesota, they need more, especially since they traded Burns away.

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by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 12:13 PM CST up reply actions  

He’s shooting as he always did and scoring as he always did.

So again, if your complaint is that he isn’t shooting enough or scoring enough, that’s on your expectations.

If your complaint is that he looks lazy and is inconsistent, fine. But he’s the same player he was in San Jose, so why should you expect him to change? That’s not reasonable.

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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 12:15 PM CST up reply actions  

Why should I expect him to change?

He’s a young player with potential. We expect him to become better. Is that so wrong? Again, his role in SJ wasn’t to be a main source of goals. It is, or it’s supposed to be, in Minnesota.

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by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 12:19 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm not the kind of guy

Who accepts someone giving anything less than 100%, especially when dealing with a professionnal. If you are, that’s on you, but I KNOW Seto can do better, he just doesn’t seem to try to every game.

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by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 12:21 PM CST up reply actions  

So his stats weren’t padded by his linemates, as you suggested earlier, since he wasn’t really on the first line.

Nor was he supposed to score despite being put in favorable situations with good teammates.

But now that he’s given tougher situations and worse linemates, the fact that he hasn’t become a scorer is his fault.

You acquired a role player, put him in much more difficult situations, and are now upset that he isn’t having a career year. I still don’t see how this is on him.

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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 12:25 PM CST up reply actions  

He didn’t need to be on the first line for his stats to be padded, SJ has some other good players.

He wasn’t the main source of goals. Goals came from Marleau, Heatley, Pavelski, Clowe, Couture, etc. In Minnesota, there’s Heatley and Setoguchi and not much else when it comes to goal scoring. Clutterbuck and Brodziak have been better than their roles suggest this year.

He’s been given tougher 5 on 5 situations, that much I will agree on, but he’s also been given more powerplay time, with one of the best powerplay performers of recent years.

We acquired a former 30-goal scorer, I think it’s fair to expect him to at least hover close to that area. As he acquires experience, he should be getting better, not stalling. Of course, I’m ready to bet you don’t watch Wild games, so you don’t see how maddening Seto can be.

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by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 12:34 PM CST up reply actions  

Of course, I’m ready to bet you don’t watch Wild games, so you don’t see how maddening Seto can be.

Here’s my problem with you: You say Seto isn’t shooting enough or scoring enough. Why do I need to watch the games to know whether he’s shooting enough or scoring?

Do your eyes catch shots that the official scorer doesn’t? Do you see goals that NHL.com isn’t reporting? Is the Minnesota scorer more liberal than San Jose’s, and thus Setoguchi isn’t really shooting as much as he did before, but the official scorer is giving him credit for shots out of pity?

This constant obsession with “you need to watch the games if you want to talk about my team” is one thing, but using that to argue against boxscores is a bit much.

Setoguchi is shooting and scoring at the same pace he has for the last two seasons. If you want to blame him for not being able to go from role player in San Jose to a first line goal scorer, go right ahead.

I don’t need to watch the games to know it isn’t Devin Setoguchi who is disappointing.

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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 12:42 PM CST up reply actions  

Where did I say Seto doesn't shoot as much as before?

I’m saying he needs to shoot more. I don’t get why you don’t understand that.

I don’t care that he’s shooting at the same pace, Minnesota needs more from him.

And if you were watching, you would see that he could, in fact, do more.

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by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 12:47 PM CST up reply actions  

Allow me to quote myself:
You say Seto isn’t shooting enough or scoring enough.

Since I never said you said he isn’t shooting as much as before, I’m going to ignore that tangent.

I don’t care that he’s shooting at the same pace, Minnesota needs more from him.

A perfect summation of why it is not Setoguchi who is disappointing, but rather your expectations that are too high. You acquired a role player and are upset he’s not a first line winger.

And if you were watching, you would see that he could, in fact, do more.

I don’t need to watch to know that he could do more. I can look to his career year and see that he could do more.

But getting the guy you acquired and being upset that he didn’t change sounds like my girlfriend. If you wanted someone who would do more than Setoguchi, you should have gotten someone better than Setoguchi.

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by Geoff Detweiler on Jan 31, 2012 1:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, I can't speak for his play with San Jose

but the Wild are putting him in position to shoot more, and he certainly has more opportunities to shoot than he takes. I don’t know if the same could be said about his time in San Jose the last few years. I would be interesting to hear that.

Fact of the matter though is that Setoguchi has had more opportunity to shoot the puck this year than he has taken, within his own game and how the Wild are using him. He has passed up shooting chances and not for often for passes to higher leverage scoring chances. That is a bit frustrating for fans of a team that has been told that Setoguchi was acquired because he was a shooter and that the team would aim to get him more shooting chances that he had in the past.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 1:15 PM CST up reply actions  

Not to mention

in his introductory press conference Seto said if there was one thing he could do it was shoot a lot. He straight up said he knew he was brought here to shoot the puck and he would do just that. It wasn’t just Wild brass and fans who sold that idea.

by Farva077 on Jan 31, 2012 1:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Right

Because trades are as easy as getting a better guy than Setoguchi. He wasn’t the central piece of the trade anyway, but still, we were promised more of him from him. He hasn’t done much to deliver on that promise. He even had the nerve to miss a team meeting as a result of partying with his old teammates.

Since I never said you said he isn’t shooting as much as before, I’m going to ignore that tangent.

Well why do you keep bringing up his shooting numbers in San Jose? What does that have to do with anything? Just because he has the same shooting numbers now doesn’t mean it’s enough.

If you know yourself he can do more, than you’re just blowing steam to piss us off. He can do better, yet he isn’t, hence our disappointment.

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by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 4:25 PM CST up reply actions  

It's fair to say that he was overrated by many Wild fans

It’s also accurate to say that almost no one expected him to come in and score 60 or more points this year. I believe the area of over estimation fell in the thought that Setoguchi getting more first line minutes, more specifically the more highly leveraged offensive situations, such as increased minutes on PP with the first unit, tied together with perhaps another increase in numbers similar to the growth between 09/10 and 10/11, reflecting another year of development and hopefully a bit more consistency.

To be fair to Setoguchi though, this is his first real experience in being traded. There has been very little actual consistency around Setoguchi this season, due to his and other injuries. So, the hoped for development and consistency has not been seen, and he seems pretty much the exact same player that he was, another year older and putting up nearly identical numbers. Of course, he also hasn’t been seeing those 1st line minutes consistently with the Wild either.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 11:04 AM CST up reply actions  

The leverage Seto would have gotten from 1st minutes gets negated because your 1st line center (Koivu) is relied on so heavily defensively. Just look at his deployment compared to his last two seasons in San Jose:

Offensive zone starts:
08-09: 54.5%
09-10: 53.1%
10-11: 55.5%
11-12: 48.3%

It’s just that much harder to put up points when you have to go 200 feet.

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by George E. Ays on Jan 31, 2012 11:16 AM CST up reply actions  

That's a fair point.

If Koivu didn’t have to be the best offensive and defensive center, he and those around him would put up more points. Look at the Sedins, most of their points come with offensive zone faceoffs against the other teams’ lower lines.

by cgp711 on Jan 31, 2012 11:22 AM CST up reply actions  

Yes...

I know that. That’s why I was in favor of the trade more because of Coyle and the 1st that the Wild turned into Zach Phillips. Setoguchi is a fine but not elite offensive player. Too many people looked to the one good year in his stat line and being the only established player as part of the Burns trade package and expected too much.

I hoped that we’d start to see a little more per game consistency from Seto, but he’d have to have some consistency around him for that to happen, I believe.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 11:24 AM CST up reply actions  

It was suggest above that he is still down about the trade.

I think that may be the case and if it is, he may have to be moved again.

by cgp711 on Jan 31, 2012 11:30 AM CST up reply actions  

Maybe.

He’s still a young guy, and was traded just after committing a bunch of years to staying in San Jose. I’m willing to see what a full year and then a full off season will bring Setoguchi. I imagine that he’ll be more settled, feel part of what might be building here, especially as young guys start coming in. I’d actually love to see Seto paired up with someone like Granlund.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 11:34 AM CST up reply actions  

The entire team doesn't shoot for rebounds for some reason.

If they took shots knowing they would result in rebounds, they would score more goals. Most goals nowadays are garbage goals it seems anyway.

by cgp711 on Jan 31, 2012 11:20 AM CST up reply actions  

They're not only missing a 'slop goal scorer'

But the Wild don’t really have any ‘net presence’ sort of player on the ice right now. Not for those down and dirty goals, but also not consistently screening and forcing traffic in front of the net.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 11:32 AM CST up reply actions  

You are the elephant in the room. I’m not afraid to address it. Did Koivu refuse to sign your sweater or what?

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by BReynolds on Jan 31, 2012 1:20 AM CST up reply actions  

Odd List

Bucci says he went with players he would want for this spring(assuming 100% health) but seemed to take young names not at their potential yet and old vets passed it a lot higher than if he was going for this season alone.

I mean he says that based on the list he if a GM would not trade the higher player for the lawyer player if salary didn’t Matter. Find me a GM in the league that if they had Semin(ranked 50) they wouldnt for Koivu straight up in a second.

by ThatGuy22 on Jan 30, 2012 4:35 PM CST reply actions  

Could Koivu's contract be one of the reasons he's ranked so low?

Don’t get me wrong, he earns every penny he makes, but that number probably scares off anyone who don’t know him properly.

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by JSLandry on Jan 30, 2012 4:55 PM CST reply actions  

Ok

Didn’t see the list. 57 is way too low.

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by JSLandry on Jan 30, 2012 6:01 PM CST up reply actions  

I dont think he would rank so low

If there was a poll taken by the players, coaches, and gms. Nor do I care how he ranks really. We all know how good he is. If people under value him that much, it can only be a good thing for the Wild.
Koivu, granlund, and heatley are going to destroy people next year. That’s just a fact.

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by PUTTINxONxTHExFOIL on Jan 30, 2012 5:21 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

The thing that gets me is Koivu was signed for his contract due to the fact that Fletcher knew damn well Koivu could get that or more on the market on July 1st. Fans and media like to criticize Koivu, but GMs drool over guys like him.

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by BReynolds on Jan 30, 2012 5:26 PM CST up reply actions  

I really wanna know which players think Pavel freaking Datsyuk is underrated.

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by davisca on Jan 30, 2012 9:51 PM CST up reply actions  

I was wondering the same thing.

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by Chris Winner on Jan 31, 2012 7:04 AM CST up reply actions  

Seriously! Unless our perception of is underrated by the players’ standards, therefore making him even more phenomenal than we realized?

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by davisca on Jan 31, 2012 12:29 PM CST via Android app up reply actions  

Is this from this year? I know they do these every year. Just curious.

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by BReynolds on Jan 30, 2012 10:35 PM CST up reply actions  

Here is my main point...

Name the players in the league with Koivu’s skill set. I’ll give you a start:

Ryan Kesler
Henrik Zetterberg

Ready? Go.

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Master of unsustainable passive regression.

by BReynolds on Jan 30, 2012 5:27 PM CST reply actions  

Jonathan Toews

Makes me think back to the game against the Blackhawks earlier this year. Love seeing these two go head to head even though Toews obviously is a bit better.

by GooterBaby on Jan 30, 2012 6:08 PM CST up reply actions  

a bit more offensive.

but Koivu has the edge defensively.

by wild32384 on Jan 30, 2012 8:19 PM CST up reply actions  

Tavares a little bit

Hands wise

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by PUTTINxONxTHExFOIL on Jan 31, 2012 1:16 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I believe Tavares has the best hand-eye coordination in the league

No player, in my mind, is better at batting the puck out of the air. His shootout attempt in the all-star weekend where he juggled the puck in the air a few times is a good example.

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by JSLandry on Jan 31, 2012 9:23 AM CST up reply actions  

I never realized that until the Skills comp. I always liked watching Tavares play, but I never knew how amazing his hand-eye is. Holy shit.

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by davisca on Jan 31, 2012 12:31 PM CST via Android app up reply actions  

Tavares isn’t in the ballpark of Koivu defensively. I’m not sure he’s even in the same time zone.

Others for Brian’s list would be Datysuk and Patrice Bergeron for sure. There’s definitely more, but my brain isn’t back up to hockey speed yet.

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by George E. Ays on Jan 31, 2012 10:56 AM CST up reply actions  

Datsyuk.

How the hell did I miss Datsyuk? Yikes.

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by BReynolds on Jan 31, 2012 9:55 PM CST up reply actions  

I think you bit a little too hard on that "Ideal 2nd Center"

I don’t know that Bucci is saying so much that Koivu IS a 2nd line center only that he is pretty much the prototype of the perfect 2nd line center. He’s a guy that can go out there, with whomever really, and force play in all areas of the rink. You can use him to match up. He’s quality in PP and PK. He plays a physical, puck possession game, featuring great vision, hands, motor, and the ability to make difficult passes to guys in good position.

If I was building a super team. I’d probably go with Crosby as my first line center and Mikko as my second line center. You’ve got scoring and then you’ve got game control and scoring.

That all being said, Koivu is so good at being a prototypical 2nd line center that he’d be the best center on most teams in the league. The only way you peg him at 57 is if you do look at injuries (and Mikko has had his share over the past couple years), the success of the Wild over the years where Mikko was their best player, and his goal scoring totals as a first line center… probably even a little thinking about some of those players how they were closer to their peak rather than their current abilities, and even some projecting for others. It’s an odd list. Personally, I’d probably peg him more in the realm of the 30s myself with stretches where he plays at a much higher level. Koivu is a bit streaky.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 7:55 AM CST reply actions  

If we take into account injuries, Crosby is not even on this list.

by cgp711 on Jan 31, 2012 8:28 AM CST up reply actions  

I know...

and I’m not implying that that was going on. I’m saying the only way I’d knock Koivu down to 57th on a list is if you were taking injuries into account. This list claims to be ‘all things being equal’, which is why I disagree with how low Koivu is ranked.

by Krotz the Wall on Jan 31, 2012 9:22 AM CST up reply actions  

Thats the claim

But anyone looking at the list can see that it wasn’t made with all things being equal.

by ThatGuy22 on Jan 31, 2012 10:18 AM CST up reply actions  

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