[Wild About Numbers]: Who Have Been the Wild's Best and Worst Scorers This Season?

"I get the feeling you might be mentioned in this one, Dany." - Paul Bereswill

Let's see which Wild players have been scoring at the fastest rates relative to their ice time.

I just got back from a couple of days away in Dublin so today's article will be short and sweet. I'm gonna look at who the Wild's best and worst scorers have been in various situations this season. I'll only be counting players who have played at least 50% of the games.


Even Strength: Forwards

Player

P/60

Player

G/60

1

Mikael Granlund

2

1

Jason Pominville

1.06

2

Jason Pominville

1.84

2

Justin Fontaine

1.03

3

Zach Parise

1.67

3

Nino Niederreiter

0.7

4

Nino Niederreiter

1.66

4

Zach Parise

0.67

5

Justin Fontaine

1.59

5

Matt Cooke

0.59

6

Mikko Koivu

1.57

6

Dany Heatley

0.54

7

Matt Cooke

1.5

7

Charlie Coyle

0.48

8

Erik Haula

1.38

8

Mikael Granlund

0.43

9

Charlie Coyle

1.31

9

Mikko Koivu

0.41

10

Dany Heatley

1.15

10

Erik Haula

0.39

11

Torrey Mitchell

1.1

11

Kyle Brodziak

0.25

12

Kyle Brodziak

1.07

12

Torrey Mitchell

0.12

  • Granlund's putting up the points, Pominville is scoring the goals. That shouldn't surprise many people.
  • Koivu's production has really tailed off since his injury. At one point he was putting up the best P/60 on the team. Not anymore. He's particularly starved for goals.
  • Matt Cooke's goalscoring is good for a tough minutes 3rd liner.
  • Charlie Coyle has been scoring as of late, but his ES production is still disappointing.
  • 4th line forward, Nino Niederreiter, seems to be pretty good at that whole "scoring points and goals" thing. Better make sure to minimise his minutes as much as possible, I guess.



Even Strength: Defencemen

Player

P/60

Player

G/60

1

Marco Scandella

0.95

1

Keith Ballard

0.22

2

Jared Spurgeon

0.92

2

Nate Prosser

0.21

3

Keith Ballard

0.77

3

Jonas Brodin

0.21

4

Ryan Suter

0.76

4

Marco Scandella

0.17

5

Nate Prosser

0.74

5

Jared Spurgeon

0.11

6

Jonas Brodin

0.47

6

Ryan Suter

0.11

7

Clayton Stoner

0.41

7

Clayton Stoner

0.08

  • Marco Scandella and Jared Spurgeon seem to be turning their great puck possession numbers into some great scoring too. It's very hard to argue that they haven't been the Wild's two best defencemen this season.
  • Keith Ballard's production is pretty good and has probably been the one defensible part of his game this season.


Powerplay

Player

P/60

Player

G/60

1

Zach Parise

5.65

1

Zach Parise

3.77

2

Mikko Koivu

4.93

2

Jonas Brodin

1.78

3

Jonas Brodin

4.75

3

Jason Pominville

1.44

4

Mikael Granlund

4.36

4

Nino Niederreiter

1.14

5

Keith Ballard

3.95

5

Justin Fontaine

1.03

6

Jason Pominville

3.83

6

Dany Heatley

0.97

7

Ryan Suter

3.69

7

Jared Spurgeon

0.91

8

Nino Niederreiter

3.41

8

Charlie Coyle

0.88

9

Jared Spurgeon

3.2

9

Mikael Granlund

0.79

10

Dany Heatley

2.92

10

Ryan Suter

0.65

11

Justin Fontaine

2.06

11

Mikko Koivu

0.62

12

Charlie Coyle

1.76

12

Keith Ballard

0

  • Zach Parise is the heart and soul of the Wild's powerplay. His production rates are fantastic.
  • Jonas Brodin has impressive PP numbers which is surprising given his ES struggles.
  • Charlie Coyle has the lowest production rate of any of the Wild's regular powerplayers.
  • Dany Heatley is 10th in P/60 despite usually playing on the top unit with the best players. Remember all those narratives during the offseason about how he was in the shape of his life and was on the brink of a comeback year? That worked out pretty well.

Wild's Best Per League-Wide Rankings

Even Strength: Forwards

Mikael Granlund

2.00

55th-T

Jason Pominville

1.84

87th

Zach Parise

1.67

126th

Even Strength: Defencemen

Marco Scandella

0.95

28th-T

Jared Spurgeon

0.92

32nd-T

5v4 (Skaters w/100+ Mins Played)

Zach Parise

5.65

15th

Mikko Koivu

4.93

73rd

  • Only Granlund and Pominville crack the top-100 forwards in production rate with neither making the top-50.
  • The Wild do a little bit better in defencemen scoring, with Scandella and Spurgeon hovering near the top of the rankings not far behind some of the league's most notable offensive defencemen. They're really good.
  • Parise is doing very well by league standards in PP production, ranking 15th overall. He's also really good, if you haven't heard.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

So, that sums it up. The Wild, as you all know, are a poor team offensively, and that's reflected by the individual scoring rates of their forwards when you compare them to the rest of the league.

I think this exercise shows the value of looking at production rates over points totals. Once you have some context, they become vastly superior at showing which guys have been scoring more when they are on the ice.

It's also important to remember that extreme highs or lows in Sh% can affect these numbers. For instance, Justin Fontaine is shooting just under 18% this year so, while his production is good, I wouldn't expect him to repeat it next year unless he dramatically increases his shot production. Likewise, Marco Scandella has a very low Sh% of 4.1% so you could realistically expect him to score a few more goals next year if he keeps producing shots at a good rate.


Leave your own take in the comments section and don't forget to share on Twitter and tell all of your friends.


You can follow me @GerDevine. Thanks to Extra Skater for all the data.

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