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Minnesota Wild on Fantasy Island: Chances at Zach Parise and Ryan Suter

Is it allowed to roll with two number 9's?
Is it allowed to roll with two number 9's?

As we continue to pick up on a few questions floating around Wild fandom, we take a look at another issue weighing heavily on the minds of everyone who bleeds red. I mean green. Wait... never mind.

The questions are two of the biggest in hockey, not just here in Minnesota. With the future of two of the big names in the game in flux, everyone wants to know... Will Zach Parise or Ryan Suter sign with their favorite team? The answer for at least 28 teams will be absolutely not. For some fans, just so long as the teams they sign with aren't the teams every free agent tends to go to, they are going to live.

If they both end up with the Rangers, there may be riots. Sorry, New York, nothing but love.

So, what kind of chances do the Wild have on the big stage of free agency?

The Percentages

As Nathan pointed out, the true percentage on each is 50%. It is pretty much a binary system, here. Either they will sign them, or they won't. Yes or no. Off or on. For the sake of discussion, we'll throw some other numbers out there, if for no other reason than to throw them out there.

Here you have them, our predictions for each scenario, broken down into simple, easy to read numbers.

Chance the Wild sign Zach Parise:

Nathan: 25%
JS: 10%
Jesse: 15%
Bryan: 30%
Bruce: 10%
Ms. C: Oh.

I gave a bit of a bump, mostly because it seems like something Chuck Fletcher can pull off. I have nothing to base that on, but if anyone can sign what would likely end up a twenty goal scorer to a massive contract, it's the Minnesota Wild. (That's a comment on luck, not the talent of Parise.)

Chance the Wild sign Ryan Suter:

Nathan: 25%
JS: 20%
Jesse: 10%
Bryan: 5%
Bruce: 15%
Ms. C: Good.

Suter would solve a major failing for the Wild. The problem is, he solves a major problem for nearly every team in the league. Somehow, the pastures of St. Paul don't look as good to Suter as a big time contender.

Chance the Wild sign both players:

Nathan: 5%
JS: "No chance in hell."
Jesse: 0%
Bryan: .0001%
Bruce: "You're kidding, right?"
Ms. C: Grief.

For those keeping score at home, that's an "Oh, good grief" final percentage from Ms. Conduct. I tend to agree. Wild fans are working themselves into a lather, and it's only March. As for me, it's a one in a million chance the Wild can land both of the most coveted free agents on the market. For those who think that's a good thing, I leave you with this:

Your turn. What percentages do you assign to these scenarios, Wilderness?