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I'm not gonna go into a long-winded description and explanation of PDO at this point as I've gone over it a few times in previous articles. For some top quality info about PDO, from the basics to the nitty-gritty, read these articles:
-Eyes On The Prize: Fancy Stat Summer School-PDO
-Pension Plan Puppets: Intro To Advanced Statistics-PDO
-Arctic Ice Hockey: PDO-If you were going to understand just one NHL statistic
-Here are the PDO ranking so far this season, featuring each team's standings position, Fenwick For% at 5v5 Close, 5v5 Sh%/Sv% and 5v5 PDO.
|
TEAM |
POS |
FENCLOSE% |
SH% |
SV% |
PDO |
|
1st |
54.2% |
11.4% |
93.2% |
104.5 |
|
|
2nd |
50.5% |
8.9% |
95.3% |
104.2 |
|
|
14th |
50.7% |
8.2% |
95.1% |
103.3 |
|
|
11th |
41.2% |
9.5% |
93.8% |
103.3 |
|
|
St.Louis Blues |
9th |
53.8% |
10.1% |
93.1% |
103.2 |
|
8th |
55.8% |
7.6% |
95.1% |
102.6 |
|
|
3rd |
55.6% |
9.4% |
92.6% |
102.0 |
|
|
21st |
48.3% |
9.2% |
92.8% |
102.0 |
|
|
4th |
50.4% |
9.6% |
92.3% |
101.9 |
|
|
10th |
48.1% |
9.6% |
91.5% |
101.1 |
|
|
6th |
57.6% |
8.9% |
92.0% |
101.0 |
|
|
15th |
50.8% |
6.7% |
94.2% |
100.9 |
|
|
5th |
57.6% |
8.3% |
92.5% |
100.8 |
|
|
7th |
52.6% |
8.4% |
92.0% |
100.5 |
|
|
12th |
50.2% |
7.5% |
92.9% |
100.3 |
|
|
17th |
46.0% |
8.9% |
91.4% |
100.3 |
|
|
18th |
52.5% |
8.1% |
92.1% |
100.2 |
|
|
19th |
48.3% |
8.7% |
90.6% |
99.3 |
|
|
20th |
49.1% |
8.3% |
90.0% |
98.3 |
|
|
22nd |
47.2% |
6.0% |
92.2% |
98.1 |
|
|
30th |
39.2% |
6.6% |
91.5% |
98.1 |
|
|
25th |
46.7% |
6.4% |
91.7% |
98.1 |
|
|
16th |
50.9% |
5.6% |
92.3% |
97.8 |
|
|
23rd |
46.0% |
5.2% |
92.4% |
97.7 |
|
|
28th |
45.1% |
8.7% |
88.9% |
97.6 |
|
|
29th |
46.6% |
5.0% |
92.5% |
97.5 |
|
|
13th |
56.7% |
5.5% |
91.6% |
97.0 |
|
|
27th |
48.0% |
6.5% |
89.7% |
96.3 |
|
|
24th |
49.6% |
4.3% |
91.5% |
95.8 |
|
|
26th |
51.4% |
5.8% |
90.0% |
95.7 |
|
|
MEAN=7.6% |
MEAN=92.22% |
- Right now the Ducks and the Avs are the clear over-acheivers of the early part of the season. The Avs have an unsustaibably high Sv%, while the Ducks are shooting at well over 11%, which can't last. Both are good puck possession teams, and the Ducks have a lot of key players coming back from injuries, so, while I think they both will be in the playoffs shake-down at the end of the year, the Ducks look to be more likely to finish higher in the standings.
- The Leafs stand out at the top of the list with their terrible FenClose%. They're certainly overachieving and are probably the most-likely candidate for a messy tumble down the standings as the year goes on.
- The Devils are last in PDO, and, while I do think they're under-acheving (look at that healthy FenClose%) they probably won't ever be able to get their PDO up to 1000 because of their dramaticlack of NHL shooting talent, and shakey goaltending. They could help themselves out if they give Corey Schneider the starting job for the rest of the year, but, they really really need someone to fill the void Ilya Kovalchuk left.
- The New York Rangers and the Los Angeles Kings should sky-rocket up the standings once their percentages begin the correct themselves. The Rags have been badly affected by injuries to key players such as Rick Nash, Henrik Lundqvist, Carl Hagelin and Ryan Callahan, so having them back will change their fortunes dramatically.
- I'd imagine the Sabres and Flames are right where they should be in terms of PDO considering the unusual lack of NHL talent on their respective rosters.
- The Wild are right on the league average in Sh% after starting the year shooting at around 4% for a couple of weeks. Their Sv% is due for some regression, but I wouldn't expect any dramatic return to Earth for the Wild. That excellent 55.8% FenClose rating is a testament to how dominant this team is at 5v5.
- The Wild's next opponent, the Washington Capitals, are just above the 1000 mark in PDO and are 17th in the standings. Aside from a dynamite powerplay, that team appears to be pretty bad and I would hope the Wild can go and school them on their home ice on Friday.
- What the hell is going on with the Senators?
Okay, that's your PDO round-up, I'll do this again in a month of so to see if any outliers remain.
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