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Breaking Down Game 11: Stats & Analysis

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The Wild fall to Pittsburgh 4-1 in a game to forget.

Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

The trouble with looking at advanced statistics in the short-term is that it is very hard to tell the full story.  Sure, Fenwick percentages can tell a lot about a team after 60-70 games, but they don't explain how the Penguins dominated the Wild in almost every way Tuesday night.

On paper, the Wild outshot Pittsburgh 34-22 and out-attempted 44-37 at even strength.  Obviously, score effects play a big role in these stats.  The Wild took control after they went down 3-0 and the Penguins definitely held back to defend their lead.

Team

Corsi %

(Even Strength)

Total Shots Unblocked Shot Attempts Faceoff % Power Play Hits
Minnesota 54.32% 44 47 55.56% 0/4 8
Pittsburgh 45.68% 37 32 44.44% 1/3 18

This shot attempt chart from War-on-ice.com tells a better story:

Game11SC

Pittsburgh generated more shots through the first two periods up until they scored their third goal.  At that point it didn't matter how many shots the Wild got in the third.  Let's look at individuals:

Player

Corsi %

(Even Strength)

Corsi For Corsi Against Shots Time on Ice
Ryan Carter 71.4% 10 4 4 6:59
Mikko Koivu 71.4% 10 4 6 22:23
Matt Dumba 68.2% 15 7 4 16:16
Justin Fontaine 66.7% 14 7 1 11:10
Erik Haula 63.6% 14 8 0 12:54
Christian Folin 57.7% 15 11 2 15:43
Marco Scandella 56.3% 18 14 3 23:46
Ryan Suter 55.0% 22 18 2 29:32
Thomas Vanek 55.0% 11 9 1 17:58
Mikael Granlund 51.5% 17 16 3 21:28
Charlie Coyle 50.0% 8 8 2 16:53
Jason Pominville 50.0% 15 15 3 20:42
Nino Niederreiter 47.8% 11 12 1 15:15
Jason Zucker 46.7% 7 8 1 15:09
Kyle Brodziak 43.8% 7 9 0 8:38
Jonas Brodin 43.8% 14 18 2 17:46
Zach Parise 42.1% 8 11 1 12:50
Nate Prosser 40.0% 4 16 0 11:19


Again, these stats are heavily inflated by the third period.  As anyone who watched the game would tell you, no one really looked great.  It's a game most players want to just put behind them.

Play of the Game

You can blame it on the Koivu non-goal, but this game was lost in the second period on Brandon Sutter's goal to put the Penguins up 2-0.  Just a bad defensive pinch by Nate Prosser while Vanek, Haula and Niederreiter were deep in the offensive zone.  Sutter chipped it past Prosser and he's off on a 3 on 1.  Darcy Kuemper maybe should have had the save, but it's hard to blame the play on him.

Wild Three Stars

1. Mikko Koivu- The Kaptain nearly got a goal and led his line all night.

2. Nino Niederreiter- He got the team's only goal shorthanded.

3. Jason Zucker- Seemed like he was the only player moving his feet all game and using his speed to set up chances.

Next up: Thursday vs. Ottawa Senators, 6:30 PM

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Stats collected from www.war-on-ice.com